Monday, 24 April 2017

NATO surge in Afghanistan next month?

According to the following article, Trump's Afghan policy will likely be finalized next month, at the about same time as he will hold a NATO meeting:

https://www.khaama.com/trump-administrations-afghan-policy-likely-to-be-finalized-next-month-khalilzad-02625

This bodes very interesting for Afghanistan. Rather than dragging more US troops into Afghanistan, Trump may decide instead for more NATO troops to shoulder the burden of Afghanistan to even the load between US and non-US NATO troops, which was mostly carried by the US in Afghanistan during the war.

This would fit with Trump's campaign promise, to make NATO more relevant: more focused on terrorism than Russia.

It would also help for NATO to be fully implemented in Afghanistan because Russia is flexing its muscles in Syria. To make the West still seem strong, strength is needed to be exerted somewhere else - Afghanistan provides a fitting target.

Though Afghanistan is important to America, Trump's immediate priorities are ISIS in Iraq and Syria, assessing the Yemen debacle, Iran and North Korea. For this reason there has been considerable delay in seeing Trump's policy in Afghanistan.

But as I have said before, a strong Afghanistan threatens Iran. And using NATO to make Afghanistan into a "block" would help Trump push back Iranian influence in the Middle-East, as well as remove a terror stronghold which has plagued the region for nearly 40 years.

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